This is a follow up to our recent report, “Bayes and Base Rates,” which argued that to anticipate what is going to happen, it is useful to start with base rates as a prior probability distribution and to update your view based on new information.
April saw a partial reversal of March’s risk-off move across global fixed income and credit markets as volatility eased following a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran.
The outlook for the Middle East remains highly uncertain, with ongoing disruption from logistical constraints, higher oil prices, and elevated geopolitical risk likely to persist until there is clear de-escalation.
A brief overview of the six main private credit strategies: Direct Lending, Asset-based Finance, Distressed Dept, Mezzanine ...
March’s flare up in geopolitical risk jolted markets, pushing energy prices higher and driving a broad repricing across global bonds and credit. In this video, we break down what moved rates and spreads—and how we’re positioning portfolios to navigate volatility and capture opportunities as dispersion rises.
Die globalen Aktienmärkte starteten 2026 mit einer soliden Ausgangslage, bevor geopolitische Spannungen und starke Anstiege der Ölpreise eine erneute Volatilität auslösten. Zugleich bewirken sich verändernde Narrative rund um KI und Marktführerschaft eine deutliche Rotation über die Sektoren hinweg. Wie sollten Investoren diese gegenläufigen Kräfte interpretieren? Das International Equity Team untersucht die Implikationen für die Portfoliopositionierung.
Use The BEAT™ as your timely resource for the markets. Each edition gives you ideas and insights that show you how to navigate the current investment environment.
