No HALO Effect: Embrace Creative Destruction and the Opportunities It Provides
No HALO Effect: Embrace Creative Destruction and the Opportunities It Provides
CARON'S CORNER
One of the questions I am frequently asked is: How are you managing all the uncertainty and pockets of market volatility surrounding news of AI disruption with a doomsday bent?
The short answer is that risks in today’s market are
idiosyncratic: With diversification and sound portfolio management, there are
viable ways to mitigate those risks - and even find investment opportunities.
How is this accomplished? A framework was developed called H
A L O, which stands for Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence. What is HALO? Let’s get
into it!
Risk Considerations Diversification does not eliminate the risk of loss.
Catalyst events, such as AI, Crypto,
and Tokenization adoption, carry the risk that such catalysts may not
occur, may be delayed or that the market may react differently than
expected. Companies focused on these areas may have limited product
lines, markets or financial resources, and their management and
performance may be particularly impacted by events that adversely affect
AI adoption, such as rapid changes in product technology cycles,
product obsolescence, government regulation, cybersecurity concerns and
competition.
There is no assurance
that the Strategy will achieve its investment objective. Portfolios are
subject to market risk, which is the possibility that the market values
of securities owned by the portfolio will decline and that the value of
portfolio shares may therefore be less than what you paid for them.
Market values can change daily due to economic and other events (e.g.
natural disasters, health crises, terrorism, conflicts and social
unrest) that affect markets, countries, companies or governments. It is
difficult to predict the timing, duration, and potential adverse effects
(e.g. portfolio liquidity) of events. Accordingly, you can lose money
investing in this portfolio. Please be aware that this strategy may be
subject to certain additional risks. There is the risk that the
Adviser’s asset allocation methodology and assumptions regarding
the Underlying Portfolios may be incorrect in light of actual market
conditions and the Portfolio may not achieve its investment objective.
Share prices also tend to be volatile and there is a significant
possibility of loss. The portfolio’s investments in commodity-linked notes involve
substantial risks, including risk of loss of a significant portion of
their principal value. In addition to commodity risk, they may be
subject to additional special risks, such as risk of loss of interest
and principal, lack of secondary market and risk of greater volatility,
that do not affect traditional equity and debt securities. Currency fluctuations could erase investment gains or add to investment losses. Fixed-income securities are
subject to the ability of an issuer to make timely principal and
interest payments (credit risk), changes in interest rates
(interest-rate risk), the creditworthiness of the issuer and general
market liquidity (market risk). In a rising interest-rate environment,
bond prices may fall and may result in periods of volatility and
increased portfolio redemptions. In a declining interest-rate
environment, the portfolio may generate less income. Longer-term securities may be more sensitive to interest rate changes. Equity and foreign securities are generally more volatile than fixed income securities and are subject to currency, political, economic and market risks. Equity values fluctuate in response to activities specific to a company. Stocks of small-capitalization companies carry
special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial
resources, and greater market volatility than securities of larger, more
established companies. The risks of investing in emerging market countries are greater than risks associated with investments in foreign developed markets. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) shares
have many of the same risks as direct investments in common stocks or
bonds and their market value will fluctuate as the value of the
underlying index does. By investing in exchange traded funds ETFs and
other Investment Funds, the portfolio absorbs both its own expenses and
those of the ETFs and Investment Funds it invests in. Supply and demand
for ETFs and Investment Funds may not be correlated to that of the
underlying securities. Derivative instruments can be illiquid,
may disproportionately increase losses and may have a potentially large
negative impact on the portfolio’s performance. A currency forward is a hedging tool that does not involve any upfront payment. The use of leverage may increase volatility in the Portfolio.
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