Stabilizing After Shock
April saw a partial reversal of March’s risk-off move across global fixed income and credit markets as volatility eased following a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran.01.06.2026 | 05:00 Uhr
Although geopolitical tensions remained elevated and energy markets continued to reflect a meaningful risk premium, reduced tail risks supported an improvement in broader market sentiment. The month was characterized by a stabilization in credit conditions, a retracement in spreads, and a reassessment of the more aggressive inflation and policy repricing that dominated March.
Energy remained the primary macro transmission channel. While disruption risk around the Strait of Hormuz and broader Middle East tensions kept oil prices elevated, markets increasingly focused on the likelihood that supply disruptions would remain contained.